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Probability Indices to Classify Keratoconus using Artificial Intelligence (PICK-AI): a tool to predict progression in keratoconus (KC)
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First Author: P.Thakur INDIA
Co Author(s): R. Shetty A. Sinha Roy G. Kundu R. Narasimhan
Abstract Details
Purpose: 
To study performance of quantitative parameters & indices in determining the progression of KC using AI. 
Setting: 
 Narayana Nethralaya Eye Hospital
121/C ,Chord road,1st R block
Rajajinagar , Bengaluru , Karnataka - 560010 
Methods: 
 Over 3500 treatment naïve scans of 206 eyes having keratoconus with good quality score after checking edge detection were exported from Pentacam HR & classified into 2 groups: Stable &Progressing based on Kmax. Any change in Kmax of 1.25 D between two visits of minimum 6 months duration was defined as progression. Keratometry parameters, derived KC indices, & Zernike wavefront aberrations, from both anterior& posterior cornea were given as features to the AI. 
Results: 
 Random forest classifier-based AI model predicted disease progression with area under the curve (AUC) at 0.92, sensitivity& specificity at 0.89& 0.92 respectively. Amongst the features ,detected by the RF classifier-RMS of lower & higher order aberrations of the anterior surface, Steep keratometry of the front surface, index of height decentration (IHD)& index of surface variance (ISV) had higher gain ratios .Using a confusion matrix in a decision tree classifier we were able to accurately predict 81.5% of progressors and 92.8% of stable patients. 
Conclusions: 
 With a combination of keratometry, derived indices & Zernike aberrations, AI model was able to predict disease progression with good accuracy. 
Financial Disclosure: 
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